Americans braced for biggest unemployment rate jump since the pandemic as tariffs muddy outlook

Unemployment concerns are on the rise among American workers as fears about the labor market in March reached levels last seen during the pandemic, according to a new survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday.

The NY Fed’s survey showed mean unemployment expectations among respondents — or the mean probability that the US unemployment rate will be higher one year from now — jumped 4.6 percentage points to 44% last month, the highest level since April 2020.

The average expected likelihood of becoming unemployed in the next 12 months increased by 1.6 percentage points in March to 15.7%, the highest level since March 2024. The increase was largest for respondents with annual household incomes below $50,000.

Alexandra Canal | Yahoo Finance

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